An Open-label, Randomized, Single Period, Parallel-Cohort Study To Evaluate Serum and Pulmonary Pharmacokinetics Following Single and Multiple Dose Administration of Intravenous GSK2251052 in Healthy Adult Subjects

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-03-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subject ismultiplesubject hassyndromeounces
  Phrases that lowered it: healthypharmacokineticssingleasthmakg
• Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 453 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 1316 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Keywords listed: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• To Evaluate Plasma and Pulmonary Pharmacokinetics of GSK2140944 NCT01934205 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• A Randomized, Single Blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Single Oral Doses and Repeat Escalating Oral Doses of GSK2251052 in Healthy Adult Subjects NCT01262885 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
• A Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of Oral and Intravenous GSK1322322 in Healthy Subjects NCT01610388 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Four Part Study to Investigate Relative Bioavailability, Safety and Tolerability of up to 5 Oral Formulation of GSK2251052 in Order to Identify a Formulation for Further Evaluation in a Future Later Phase Study NCT01702350 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials terminated
• A Single Oral Escalating Dose Study of GSK2140944 in Healthy Volunteers NCT02202187 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.