TRICC-C (AIO-KRK-0111): BIBF 1120 Versus Placebo in Patients Receiving Oxaliplatin Plus Fluorouracil and Leucovorin (mFOLFOX6) for Advanced, Chemorefractory Metastatic Colorectal Cancer (mCRC)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 18% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancermetastaticchemotherapyprioradequate
  Phrases that lowered it: containingthe efficacyhepaticpainsafety of
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 5 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 6 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Efficacy And Safety Of Xeliri + Avastin Followed By Xelox + Avastin Or Reverse Sequence In Metastatic Colorectal Cancer NCT02119026 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
• A Safety, Pharmacokinetic and Efficacy Study of NUC-3373 in Combination With Standard Agents Used in Colorectal Cancer Treatment NCT03428958 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials completed
• Study of 5-Fluorouracil/Leucovorin/Oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) + Bevacizumab Versus 5-Fluorouracil/Leucovorin/Oxaliplatin/Irinotecan (FOLFOXIRI) + Bevacizumab as First Line Treatment of Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Not Previously Treated and With Three or More Circulating Tumoral Cells NCT01640405 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
• BIBF 1120 Versus Bevacizumab in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer NCT00904839 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed
• FOLFIRI Alone Versus FOLFIRI Plus Bevacizumab Versus FOLFIRI Plus E7820 as Second-Line Therapy in Patients With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Colorectal Cancer NCT01133990 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.