Study Evaluating the Safety and Efficacy of MEGF0444A in Combination With Carboplatin, Paclitaxel and Bevacizumab in Patients With Advanced or Recurrent Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Who Have Not Received Prior Chemotherapy for Advanced Disease (NILE)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 16% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: stageivpaclitaxelsquamouscancer
  Phrases that lowered it: advancedand safetyefficacy andsafety oftumors
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 59 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 100 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Phase 1b/2 Trial of AMG386 With Pemetrexed and Carboplatin in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01666977 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed
• A Study of Pemetrexed and Carboplatin/Cisplatin or Gemcitabine and Carboplatin/Cisplatin With or Without IMC-1121B in Participants Previously Untreated With Recurrent or Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) NCT01160744 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1b/2 Study of AMG 655 in Combination With Paclitaxel and Carboplatin for the First-Line Treatment of Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00534027 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials completed
• Study of Combination Therapy of Carboplatin -Gemcitabine Plus Bevacizumab Beyond Progression in Patients With Locally Advanced and/or Metastatic Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Who Have Not Received Prior Systemic Therapy NCT00702975 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
• A Study of Onartuzumab (MetMAb) in Combination With Bevacizumab (Avastin) Plus Platinum And Paclitaxel or With Pemetrexed Plus Platinum in Patients With Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01496742 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.