Orantinib In Combination With Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization In Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-11-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: carcinomaplacebounresectablecurativetrial of
  Phrases that lowered it: patientscombination within combinationoraldiagnosed
• Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 11 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• TACE and Sorafenib for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) NCT00618384 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Avastin (Bevacizumab) and Transarterial Chemoembolisation (TACE) Treatment in Patients With Liver Cancer NCT00576199 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
• A Study of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab and Nivolumab Alone in Combination With Trans-arterial ChemoEmbolization (TACE) in Participants With Intermediate Stage Liver Cancer NCT04340193 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• Safety and Efficacy of RAD001 + TACE in Localized Unresectable HCC NCT01379521 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials terminated
• Evaluate the Effect of Tirazamine on Primary Liver Cancer. NCT06848556 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.