Explorative Phase II Study of Perioperative Treatment in Patients With Adenocarcinoma of the Gastroesophageal Junction or Stomach

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 20% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-09-12. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: her2patients mustto determinedocetaxeltherapy
  Phrases that lowered it: clinicallyaccordingmalesignificantclinical
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 5 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 5 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Keywords listed: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• FLOT vs. FLOT/Herceptin/Pertuzumab for Perioperative Therapy of HER-2 Expressing Gastric or GEJ Cancer NCT02581462 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials completed
• Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin(XELOX) in Patients With Advanced Gastric Cancer(AGC): Her+XELOX NCT01396707 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
• A Study of the Combination of Oxaliplatin, Capecitabine, and Trastuzumab With Chemoradiotherapy in the Adjuvant Setting in Operated Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2 Positive (HER2+) Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer NCT01748773 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Trastuzumab, Capecitabine y Oxaliplatine as Treatment Gastric Cancer Metastatic (HER2)Positive NCT01503983 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin as First-line Chemotherapy for Inoperable, Locally Advanced or Recurrent and/or Metastatic Gastric Cancer NCT01364493 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.