Safety and Efficacy of Carboplatin/Paclitaxel and Carboplatin/Paclitaxel/Bevacizumab With and Without Pictilisib in Previously Untreated Advanced or Recurrent Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 17% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-03-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: squamouscellcarboplatinrecurrentstage
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantdiabetestypeinsulin
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 67 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Comparative Study Of PF-06439535 Plus Paclitaxel-Carboplatin And Bevacizumab Plus Paclitaxel-Carboplatin Patients With Advanced Non-Squamous NSCLC NCT02364999 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
• Paclitaxel, Carboplatin Plus Bevacizumab in Pretreated, Advanced or Metastatic Non Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00753909 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
• A Study of Bevacizumab Versus Placebo in Combination With Carboplatin/Paclitaxel in Participants With Advanced or Recurrent Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Who Have Not Received Previous Chemotherapy NCT01364012 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
• Ph II of a Novel Anti-angiogenic Agent in Combination With Chemotherapy for the Treatment of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00850577 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Nab-Paclitaxel and Carboplatin Plus Necitumumab (LY3012211) in Participants With Stage IV Squamous NSCLC NCT02392507 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 21% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.