A Comparative Study Of PF-06439535 Plus Paclitaxel-Carboplatin And Bevacizumab Plus Paclitaxel-Carboplatin Patients With Advanced Non-Squamous NSCLC
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 27% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2017-12-31, after 2015-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: bevacizumabcarboplatinsquamouspaclitaxelcancer
Phrases that lowered it: and safetyefficacy andsafety ofmalethe efficacy -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 27.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 1485 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 221 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 82084 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1485 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 221 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 82084 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 11408 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 27.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, carboplatin, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A BRIDGING STUDY OF PF-06439535 (CN) PLUS PACLITAXEL-CARBOPLATIN VERSUS BEVACIZUMAB PLUS PACLITAXEL-CARBOPLATIN IN NSCLC NCT04325698 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials terminated
- A Study of Bevacizumab Versus Placebo in Combination With Carboplatin/Paclitaxel in Participants With Advanced or Recurrent Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Who Have Not Received Previous Chemotherapy NCT01364012 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy of Carboplatin/Paclitaxel and Carboplatin/Paclitaxel/Bevacizumab With and Without Pictilisib in Previously Untreated Advanced or Recurrent Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01493843 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 55% of active trials completed
- Paclitaxel, Carboplatin Plus Bevacizumab in Pretreated, Advanced or Metastatic Non Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00753909 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
- Efficacy Study of Avastin® With Pemetrexed +/- Carboplatin to Treat Elderly Patients With Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00976456 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.