External Beam Radiation With or Without Chemotherapy to Treat High Risk Prostate Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 27% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 21% of the time (131 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2014-05-31, after 2012-07-31 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: randomizationdayscancercellsprior
Phrases that lowered it: or equalequal tocompareinvestigatorhigh -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Phase: 2/3 (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 21.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
-
Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2/3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 2 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 10895 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2583 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 21.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- docetaxel, goserelin, leuprolide, luteinizing hormone
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Radiation Therapy With or Without Androgen-Deprivation Therapy in Treating Patients With Prostate Cancer NCT00936390 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Radiation Therapy, Androgen Suppression, and Docetaxel in Treating Patients With High-Risk Prostate Cancer Who Have Undergone Radical Prostatectomy NCT00528866 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Androgen Suppression and Radiation With/Out Docetaxel in High-Risk Localized Prostate Cancer NCT00651326 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials terminated
- Hormonal Therapy and Chemotherapy Followed by Prostatectomy in Patients With Prostate Cancer NCT02494713 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials terminated
- Postoperative Radiation Therapy, Hormonal Therapy and Concurrent Docetaxel for High Risk Pathologic Prostate Cancer NCT00669162 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.