Pharmacokinetics, Safety, and Efficacy of Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Single Tablet Regimen (STR) in Adolescents

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 10% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (47 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-01-29. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cell30 dayskeypulmonaryadequate
  Phrases that lowered it: participantshiv infectedantiretroviraltdfevaluate
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 82 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 13.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 98.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 124 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: 17 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Phase: 2/3 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety and Efficacy of E/C/F/TAF (Genvoya®) Versus E/C/F/TDF (Stribild®) in HIV-1 Infected, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT01497899 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate Switching From Regimens Consisting of a Nonnucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitor Plus Emtricitabine and Tenofovir DF to the Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir DF Single-Tablet Regimen in Virologically Suppressed, HIV-1 Infected Patients NCT01495702 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate Switching From Regimens Consisting of a Ritonavir-boosted Protease Inhibitor Plus Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Fixed-Dose Combination to the Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir DF Single-Tablet Regimen in Virologically Suppressed, HIV-1 Infected Patients NCT01475838 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of E/C/F/TAF (Genvoya®) Versus E/C/F/TDF (Stribild®) in HIV-1 Positive, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT01780506 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of E/C/F/TAF Versus E/C/F/TDF in HIV-1 Positive, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT01797445 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.