Pilot Phase III Clinical Trial of JDP-205 IV Injection for Treatment of Acute Urticaria
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (336 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-12-31, after 2013-07-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: acutemgdetermined byivsymptoms
Phrases that lowered it: medicationpastreceipt50patients who -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 17.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 91717 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 13638 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 80.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 17.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- immunology, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cetirizine, diphenhydramine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Clinical Trial Comparing JDP-205 to Diphenhydramine Injection for the Treatment of Acute Urticaria NCT02935699 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- A Dose Escalation Trial of Safety, Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic and Preliminary Clinical Activity of Briquilimab in Adult Patients With Chronic Inducible Urticaria (CIndU) Who Remain Symptomatic Despite Treatment With H1- Antihistamines NCT06353971 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials terminated
- A Study of GDC-0853 in Participants With Refractory Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU). NCT03137069 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Dose Escalation Trial Of Safety, Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic And Preliminary Clinical Activity of Briquilimab In Adult Patients With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) NCT06162728 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Chemoattractant Receptor-homologous Molecule Expressed on T Helper Type 2 (CRTh2) Antagonist AZD1981 in Chronic Idiopathic Urticaria (CIU) Antihistamines NCT02031679 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.