A Dose Escalation Trial of Safety, Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic and Preliminary Clinical Activity of Briquilimab in Adult Patients With Chronic Inducible Urticaria (CIndU) Who Remain Symptomatic Despite Treatment With H1- Antihistamines

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (41 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-07-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: priorthe trialeffectiveto screeninghalf
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantdiseasesaminotransferasepressure
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Dose Escalation Trial Of Safety, Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic And Preliminary Clinical Activity of Briquilimab In Adult Patients With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) NCT06162728 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
• Rilzabrutinib for the Treatment of Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria in Patients Who Remain Symptomatic Despite the Use of H1 Antihistamine NCT05107115 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
• Cholinergic Urticaria - Efficacy of Dupilumab NCT03749148 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
• A Phase 2, Open-Label, Extension Study to Evaluate Long Term Safety and Clinical Activity of Briquilimab in Participants From Jasper-Sponsored Chronic Urticaria Trials NCT06736262 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials terminated
• A Study to Investigate the Use of Benralizumab in Patients With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria Who Are Symptomatic Despite the Use of Antihistamines (ARROYO) NCT04612725 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.