LHRH Analogue Therapy With Enzalutamide or Bicalutamide in Treating Patients With Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 35% for any early termination, 16% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-03-01, after 2014-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-03-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patienthormonecancerprostatepatients
Phrases that lowered it: visitscreeningthe effecteffect ofmetastatic -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 71 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 23.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 83.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 71 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 5 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 13752 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4228 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 83.1% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 23.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bicalutamide, enzalutamide, goserelin, leuprolide
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Learn How Well Darolutamide Administered Together With Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) Works in Men With Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer. Results Will be Compared With ADT Alone From a Previously Conducted Study. NCT05059236 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
- Enzalutamide Plus Talazoparib for the Treatment of Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer (ZZ-First) NCT04332744 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
- Trial of Abiraterone Acetate Plus LHRH-therapy Versus Abiraterone Acetate Sparing LHRH-therapy in Patients With Progressive Chemotherapy-naïve Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer (SPARE) NCT02077634 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
- Docetaxel or Abiraterone Acetate With ADT in Treating Patients With Metastatic Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer NCT03827473 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
- Denosumab in Combination With Enzalutamide in Progressive Metastatic Castrate-resistant Prostate Cancer and Bone Metastases. NCT03869762 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.