Eribulin Mesylate and Everolimus in Treating Patients With Triple-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 18% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-03-03, after 2014-10-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-03-03. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.6% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patients mustcancerheartventriculartumor
Phrases that lowered it: breast cancermetastatic breastdexamethasoneaminotransferasemoderate -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 29.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 32 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 90 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.6% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 32 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 9801 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2538 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 91.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 29.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- eribulin, everolimus
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Participants With Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (mTNBC) NCT02513472 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
- Mifepristone and Eribulin in Patients With Metastatic Triple Negative Breast Cancer or Other Specified Solid Tumors NCT02014337 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials completed
- Efficacy & Safety Evaluation of Enobosarm in Combo With Abemaciclib in Treatment of ER+HER2- Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT05065411 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials terminated
- Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Eribulin Mesylate Administered Biweekly (Q2W) for Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT02481050 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- TEEL Study- Phase 1 Tamoxifen and Ribociclib (LEE011) in Advanced ER+ (HER2 Negative) Breast Cancer NCT02586675 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.