Study to Evaluate Antiviral Activity, Safety, and Pharmacokinetics of Repeated Doses of Orally Administered JNJ 53718678 Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection.

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (780 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-10-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: infectionhearthcvpurposeconfirmed
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyparticipantsscreeningevaluate theto evaluate
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 45 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 1 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Explore the Antiviral Activity, Clinical Outcomes, Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of JNJ-53718678 at Two Dose Levels in Non-Hospitalized Adult Participants Infected With Respiratory Syncytial Virus NCT03379675 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 24% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Pharmacokinetics, Safety, and Tolerability of Multiple Doses of Orally Administered JNJ-53718678 in Infants Hospitalized With Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Infection NCT02593851 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials terminated
• Study to Evaluate Safety and Antiviral Activity of Doses of JNJ-53718678 in Children (>=28 Days to <=3 Years) With Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection NCT03656510 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials terminated
• A First-In-Human Study of Orally Administered JNJ-64417184 to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Single and Multiple Ascending Doses, and the Antiviral Activity of Multiple Doses in a Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Challenge Study in Healthy Participants NCT03403348 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Study to Learn About the Effects of Multiple Doses of Sisunatovir on People With Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Infection NCT03258502 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.