Phase I of Carboplatin-Olaparib Followed by Olaparib Monotherapy in Advanced Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 19% for any early termination, 7% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-01-31, after 2015-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerchemotherapyleukemiato determinefirst dose
Phrases that lowered it: drugstrial toaccordinglinecontraceptive -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 18.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 22.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Keywords listed: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 11 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 18.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 14 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 23617 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3426 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology, urogenital, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, olaparib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase I, Open-Label, 2 Part Multicentre Study to Assess the Safety and Efficacy of Olaparib in Combination With Carboplatin in Patients With Advanced HER-2 Negative Breast Cancer NCT02561832 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials terminated
- Olaparib in Combination With Carboplatin for Refractory or Recurrent Women s Cancers NCT01237067 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
- To Study Clinical Effectiveness and Safety of Olaparib Monotherapy in Metastatic Breast Cancer Patients. NCT03286842 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 35% of active trials completed
- Best Approach in Recurrent-Ovarian-Cancer-with Cediranib-Olaparib NCT03314740 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- UTOLA: UTerin OLAparib NCT03745950 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.