Pembrolizumab in Treating Minimal Residual Disease in Patients With Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2019-12-17, after 2017-01-13 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-12-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ulnsmallcelllongdose of
Phrases that lowered it: bonerangethe trialinclusion exclusionmk -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 32.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 111 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 378 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 76.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 378 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 111 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 4317 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2395 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 76.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 32.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, infectious disease, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- lambrolizumab, pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Pembrolizumab With Rituximab or Obinutuzumab in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Follicular Lymphoma or Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma NCT03401853 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
- Pembrolizumab and External Beam Radiation Therapy in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT03210662 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- MRD-guided Treatment in NPM1mut AML Patients NCT03769532 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 91% of active trials terminated
- Pembrolizumab and Decitabine for Refractory or Relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT02996474 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab in Untreated B-Cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphoproliferative Diseases NCT03498612 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.