Avelumab In Combination Regimens That Include An Immune Agonist, Epigenetic Modulator, CD20 Antagonist and/or Conventional Chemotherapy in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (R/R DLBCL)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 18% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2019-12-02, after 2016-12-16 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-12-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellchemotherapytransplantationpdipilimumab
Phrases that lowered it: relapsedlymphomaor refractorycontainingdlbcl -
Sponsor's past trials: 1626 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 151 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 17717 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 96047 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 5 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1626 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 151 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 6 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 96047 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 17717 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 25.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- avelumab, azacitidine, bendamustine, gemcitabine, oxaliplatin, rituximab, utomilumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Obinutuzumab [RO5072759 (GA101)] in Combination With CHOP Chemotherapy in Patients With Previously Untreated Advanced Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (GATHER) NCT01414855 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
- A Study of Durvalumab in Combination With R-CHOP or Lenalidomide Plus R-CHOP in Previously Untreated High-Risk Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma NCT03003520 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
- A Study of Obinutuzumab in Combination With CHOP Chemotherapy Versus Rituximab With CHOP in Participants With CD20-Positive Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (GOYA) NCT01287741 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials terminated
- Ofatumumab Versus Rituximab Salvage Chemoimmunotherapy Followed by Autologous Stem Cell Transplant in Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma NCT01014208 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Tolerability of Debio 1562 in Combination With Rituximab in Participants With Relapsed and/or Refractory DLBCL and Other Forms of NHL NCT02564744 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.