Study of Vismodegib in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With SMO Overexpression

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 21% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-09-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancerher2longchemotherapypatients must
  Phrases that lowered it: bleedingevaluate theto evaluateand safetyefficacy and
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 82 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 168 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 17.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 78.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 1783 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With MET Overexpression as a Second-line Treatment NCT02447380 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
• Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With MET Amplification as a Third-line Treatment NCT02449551 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
• Phase Ib, Single-arm Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel, in Any Solid Cancer and Sequential Phase II, Single-arm Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With MET Amplification as a Second Line Treatment NCT02447406 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 55% of active trials completed
• Single-arm Study of Selumetinib in Combination With Docetaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With Low/High MEK Signature, RAS Mutation or RAS Amplification as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02448290 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
• Two-Part, Phase Ib/II, Open Label, Single-Arm, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Varlitinib in Combination With Weekly Paclitaxel in EGFR/HER2 Co-expressing Advanced or Metastatic Gastric Cancer Patients NCT05400915 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.