A Prospective, Single-center, One-arm Clinical Study of Apatinib Combined With Chemotherapy for Pretreated Patients With Advanced Small Cell Lung Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 19% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-09-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chemotherapyfunctionserumulnms
  Phrases that lowered it: malescreeningperiodsingledaily
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 38.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 100% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 7 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 12 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Benmelstobart Sequential Benmelstobart Combined With Anlotinib Versus Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Tislelizumab Sequential Tislelizumab in the Treatment of Extensive Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT06897579 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials terminated
• AZD 2811 Monotherapy in Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients [SUKSES-N3] NCT03366675 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 39% of active trials terminated
• Anlotinib Hydrochloride Combined With AP in Stage IIIB/IIIC/IV Non-squamous Non-small-cell Lung Cancer NCT04012619 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials completed
• Study of AZD6738 and Olaparib Combination Therapy in Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients [SUKSES-N2] NCT03428607 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
• Sintilimab Combined With Anlotinib in Advanced NSCLC With EGFR Uncommon Mutations NCT04790409 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.