Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Benmelstobart Sequential Benmelstobart Combined With Anlotinib Versus Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Tislelizumab Sequential Tislelizumab in the Treatment of Extensive Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2026-04-15, after 2025-04-07 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2026-04-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 22.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ventriculartumorsubjectssurgerybms
Phrases that lowered it: efficacy andand safetyparticipantssafety ofthe efficacy -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 71 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 29797 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 70 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 22.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 71 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 5 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 269774 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 29797 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- benmelstobart, carboplatin, cisplatin, etoposide, tislelizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Efficacy of SB 11285 Alone and in Combination With Atezolizumab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT04096638 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
- Sintilimab Combined With Anlotinib in Advanced NSCLC With EGFR Uncommon Mutations NCT04790409 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
- Sintilimab in Cancer of Unknown Primary NCT05024968 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab (Anti-PD-1) and AMG386 (Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumor NCT03239145 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab + Imprime PGG for Metastatic Non-small Cell Lung Cancer After Progression on First-Line Therapy: Big Ten Cancer Research Consortium BTCRC-LUN15-017 NCT03003468 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.