Sintilimab in Cancer of Unknown Primary

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 25% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-04-03. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: boweltransplantationtumorsdose ofvaccine
  Phrases that lowered it: diseaseshepatichas historyand safetyprostate
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 26.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 97.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 200 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 991 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Sintilimab for the Treatment of Locally Advanced, Metastatic, Recurrent, or Unresectable Undifferentiated Pleomorphic Sarcoma, SiARa Cancer Study NCT05017103 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 97% of active trials terminated
• Sintilimab for the Treatment of Locally Advanced, Metastatic, or Recurrent Angiosarcoma, the SiARa Cancer Study NCT05026736 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Single Drug TJ011133 and Toripalimab Combine Treatment for Advanced Solid Tumor NCT05148533 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials terminated
• Pembrolizumab (Anti-PD-1) and AMG386 (Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumor NCT03239145 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
• Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Benmelstobart Sequential Benmelstobart Combined With Anlotinib Versus Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Tislelizumab Sequential Tislelizumab in the Treatment of Extensive Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT06897579 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.