Vitamin C, Hydrocortisone and Thiamine for Septic Shock
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 14% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (331 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2023-01-16, after 2018-09-06 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-01-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: placeborandomizationhoursdouble blindhospital
Phrases that lowered it: the effecteffect ofpatientslabeltrial -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 6.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 32
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 6.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 9 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 54234 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 9266 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 78.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 9.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- hydrocortisone
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Vitamin C, Thiamine and Hydrocortisone for the Treatment of Septic Shock NCT03872011 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 21% of active trials completed
- Vitamin C, Steroids, and Thiamine, and Cerebral Autoregulation and Functional Outcome in Septic Shock NCT03649633 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials terminated
- Vitamin C, Hydrocortisone and Thiamine in Patients With Septic Shock NCT05192213 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials terminated
- Evaluation of Hydrocortisone, Vitamin C and Thiamine for the Treatment of Septic Shock NCT03380507 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
- Effect of IV Vitamin C, Thiamine, and Steroids on Mortality of Septic Shock NCT03828929 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.