Vitamin C, Thiamine and Hydrocortisone for the Treatment of Septic Shock
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (313 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-09-20, after 2019-02-19 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-09-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: to determinevitamindetermine whethertherapyeffective
Phrases that lowered it: clinical trialmonths beforeold90combination therapy -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 63.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 339238 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 339238 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 45122 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 63.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 7.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ascorbic acid, hydrocortisone, thiamine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Ascorbic Acid and Thiamine Effect in Septic Shock NCT03756220 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Evaluation of Hydrocortisone, Vitamin C and Thiamine for the Treatment of Septic Shock NCT03380507 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
- Vitamin C, Hydrocortisone and Thiamine in Patients With Septic Shock NCT05192213 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials terminated
- Vitamin C, Hydrocortisone and Thiamine for Septic Shock NCT03592693 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials terminated
- Vitamin C, Thiamine, and Steroids in Sepsis NCT03509350 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.