A Study To Assess Pharmacodynamics, Safety And Tolerability Of PF-05221304 And PF-06865571 Co-Administered For 6 Weeks In Adults With Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 24% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 18% of the time (280 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-10-11. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chronicor equalequal togreaterpf
  Phrases that lowered it: mgevaluate thethe effecteffect ofpharmacodynamics
• Sponsor's past trials: 1776 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 150 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Open-Label Study To Evaluate MN-001 on HDL & Triglyceride in NASH & NAFLD Subjects NCT02681055 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials completed
• A Study of the Efficacy and Safety of CF102 in the Treatment of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease NCT02927314 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 55% of active trials completed
• A Randomized, Double-blind Study to Assess the Safety and Efficacy of EDP-305 in Subjects With Liver-biopsy Proven NASH NCT04378010 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials terminated
• Study to Evaluate the Effect of Elafibranor on Hepatic Lipid Composition in Subjects With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver (NAFL) NCT03953456 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials terminated
• 2-Week Study In People With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease NCT03513588 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.