[18F]Fluciclovine in Post-treatment Glioblastoma ( Axumin )

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 18% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-11-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: tumorbrainctpetcell
  Phrases that lowered it: evaluateparticipantsparticipantscreeninginvestigator
• Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 6.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 12.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Pilot Study of 18F-FMISO PET/CT and MRI Imaging to Explore Tissue Hypoxia and Arteriovenous Shunting in Subjects With Recurrent Glioblastoma Before and After Bevacizumab Treatment NCT03573986 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials terminated
• MRI and PET/FMISO In Assessing Tumor Hypoxia in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma Multiforme NCT00902577 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
• Standard Chemotherapy vs. Chemotherapy Guided by Cancer Stem Cell Test in Recurrent Glioblastoma NCT03632135 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• Cilengitide Imaging Trial in Glioblastoma NCT01558687 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Subcutaneous Bevacizumab in Relapsed / Progressive Glioblastoma NCT02157103 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.