A Study to Assess the Effectiveness and Safety of Irinotecan Liposome Injection, 5-fluorouracil/Leucovorin Plus Oxaliplatin in Patients Not Previously Treated for Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer, Compared to Nab-paclitaxel+Gemcitabine Treatment

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 22% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-02-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: metastaticchemotherapypriorcancerct
  Phrases that lowered it: efficacy andand safetyopen labelsafety ofthe efficacy
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 22.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 239953 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 11 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 36537 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Phase 2 Study of Irinotecan Liposome Injection, Oxaliplatin, 5-fluorouracil/Levoleucovorin in Japanese Participants Not Previously Treated for Metastatic Adenocarcinoma of the Pancreas NCT06225999 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
• Study of Nanoliposomal Irinotecan (Nal-IRI)-Containing Regimens Versus Nab-paclitaxel Plus Gemcitabine in Patients With Previously Untreated, Metastatic Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma NCT02551991 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
• A Study of Irinotecan Liposome in Advanced Pancreatic Cancer NCT04796948 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
• Irinotecan Liposome in Combination With 5-FU/LV Versus 5-FU/LV in Second-line Therapy for Gemcitabine-Refractory Pancreatic Cancer NCT05074589 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
• Oxaliplatin Combined With Irinotecan Liposome Injection II Through Hepatic Artery Infusion (HAIC) Followed by 5-FU/LV (HAIC) or Tegorgor Oral Combination Therapy for Hepatic Metastasis of Pancreatic Cancer NCT06538623 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.