Combination of Osimertinib and Aspirin to Treat EGFR Mutation NSCLC Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 14% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-06-01, after 2019-01-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-06-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: stagemetastaticnsclcegfradvanced
Phrases that lowered it: and safetyefficacy andeffectthe efficacysafety of -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 80 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 72.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 6 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 434352 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 12 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 80 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 6 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 12 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 434352 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 63457 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 72.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 9.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- aspirin, osimertinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Assessing an Oral Janus Kinase Inhibitor, AZD4205, in Combination With Osimertinib in Patients Who Have Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03450330 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials completed
- Osimertinib Combined With Anlotinib in EGFR T790M Mutated NSCLC Patients With Progression on Osimertinib Treatment NCT04438902 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials terminated
- Combination of Osimertinib and Aspirin to Treat 1st Generation EGFR-TKI Resistance in NSCLC NCT03543683 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- Osimertinib or Docetaxel-bevacizumab as Third-line Treatment in EGFR T790M Mutated Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02959749 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
- G1T38, a CDK 4/6 Inhibitor, in Combination With Osimertinib in EGFR-Mutant Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03455829 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.