Biweekly TPF Induction Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 22% for any early termination, 15% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-09-15, after 2014-03-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-09-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientcellcarcinomasquamouscancer
Phrases that lowered it: efficacy andand safetythe efficacytransaminasedisorder -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 23 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 21.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 27 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 7008 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 27 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 23 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 51839 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 7008 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 21.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cisplatin, cisplatin fluorouracil, docetaxel, fluorouracil
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Docetaxel, Cisplatin, and S-1 (TPS) Induction Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer NCT01645748 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
- Cetuximab as Induction Treatment in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC) NCT00623558 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
- Induction Chemotherapy Followed by Chemoradiation With Cetuximab in Head and Neck Cancer NCT00868491 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
- Concomitant Chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) With Weekly Docetaxel and Cisplatin for Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer NCT01126008 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Response Rate to Therapy With Docetaxel and Cisplatin in Unresectable Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck NCT02061631 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.