Study of Hypofractionated Radiotherapy Alone in Locally Advanced Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 35% for any early termination, 37% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2020-11-20, after 2020-10-16 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-11-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: radiationcancerchemotherapystagecell
Phrases that lowered it: participantbreast cancerjointwaysingle -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 19.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor's past trials: 433 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 110 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 108 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 3898 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 433 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 19.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 110 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 3898 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 108 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- radiation therapy
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Specialized Radiation Therapy and Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer That Cannot Be Removed by Surgery NCT01486602 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
- Fraction Dose Escalation of Hypo-fractionated Radiotherapy in LANSCLC NCT04951063 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
- Hypofractionated Boost Before Chemoradiation for Patients With Stage II-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Unsuitable for Surgery NCT02262325 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
- Combined CFRT and SABR in Stage II and III NSCLC With Peripheral Tumors Smaller Than 5 cm. NCT01933568 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- Trial of Image-Guided Adaptive Conformal Photon vs Proton Therapy, With Concurrent Chemotherapy, for Locally Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma: Treatment Related Pneumonitis and Locoregional Recurrence NCT00915005 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 91% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.