A Phase 1 Study of SHR-A1811 in Patients With Selected HER2 Expressing Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-03-28, after 2021-03-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-03-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 140 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: her2cancerthe purposepurpose ofstudy is
Phrases that lowered it: immunogenicitypharmacokineticsefficacyopen labelsafety -
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor's past trials: 125 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 125 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 140 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- IN10018 Monotherapy or in Combination With Docetaxel in Gastric or GEJ Adenocarcinoma NCT05327231 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed
- DS-8201a in Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-Expressing Gastric Cancer [DESTINY-Gastric01] NCT03329690 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials completed
- A Study of SHR-1210 in Combination With Capecitabine + Oxaliplatin or Apatinib in Treatment of Advanced Gastric Cancer NCT03472365 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Combination of Oxaliplatin, Capecitabine, and Trastuzumab With Chemoradiotherapy in the Adjuvant Setting in Operated Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2 Positive (HER2+) Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer NCT01748773 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
- Anti-HER2 Bispecific Antibody Zanidatamab (ZW25) Activity in Combination With Chemotherapy With/Without Tislelizumab NCT04276493 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.