Pacritinib for Biochemical Relapse After Definitive Treatment for Prostate Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 30% for any early termination, 16% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2024-10-27, after 2021-06-01 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-10-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: qtintervalheartpriorchronic
Phrases that lowered it: valueslesionssystemicmgperiod -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 18.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 40% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 53 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 150 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 90% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 150 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 18.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 53 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 10 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 40% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pacritinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Conventional Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) With or Without Abiraterone Acetate + Prednisone and Apalutamide Following a Detectable PSA After Radiation and ADT NCT03777982 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials terminated
- Enzalutamide With Venetoclax in Treating Patients With Metastatic Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer NCT03751436 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Denosumab in Combination With Enzalutamide in Progressive Metastatic Castrate-resistant Prostate Cancer and Bone Metastases. NCT03869762 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
- TKI258 in Castrate Resistant Prostate Cancer NCT00831792 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials completed
- Enzalutamide With Ribociclib in Treating Patients With Metastatic Castrate-Resistant, Chemotherapy Naive Prostate Cancer That Retains Retinoblastoma Expression NCT02555189 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.