A Study to Investigate the Efficacy and Tolerability of ESO-101 in Patients With Eosinophilic Esophagitis
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 18% of the time (280 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-10-09, after 2021-06-29 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-10-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 50.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 3.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: screeningplacebotolerabilitydouble blindchronic
Phrases that lowered it: patientsand safetygradecancertrial -
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 50690 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 50690 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4870 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 50.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 3.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- digestive, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- mometasone furoate
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess the Efficacy, Safety and Tolerability of IRL201104 in Adults With Active Eosinophilic Esophagitis NCT05084963 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
- Mepo for Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) Study NCT03656380 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- 24-Week Induction Study of APT-1011 in Adult Subjects With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) (FLUTE 3) NCT05634746 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
- A Study in Adolescents and Adults With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) Measuring Histologic Response and Determine if Reduction in Dysphagia is Achieved NCT02605837 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety APT-1011 in Adult Subjects With Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) (FLUTE-2) NCT04281108 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.