A Study of ART4215 for the Treatment of Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-12-24. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: metastatictumorbreast cancerpriorpatient
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsprotocol definedpharmacokineticsopen labelthe study
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 67.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study of Tuvusertib (M1774) in Combination With DNA Damage Response Inhibitor or Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor (DDRiver Solid Tumors 320) NCT05396833 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
• OLAParib COmbinations NCT02576444 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials terminated
• A Study of Zalifrelimab and Balstilimab for Treatment of Participants With Metastatic or Locally Advanced Solid Tumors, and Expansion Into Select Solid Tumors (Cervical) NCT03495882 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
• A Study on Tuvusertib (Oral ATR Inhibitor) in Combination With PLX038 (Topo1 Inhibitor) in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT06337630 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials terminated
• Trial of Gemcitabine/Carboplatin With or Without Iniparib (SAR240550) (a PARP1 Inhibitor) in Subjects With Previously Untreated Stage IV Squamous Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) NCT01082549 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.