A Research Study Looking at How NNC0385-0434 Tablets Work to Lower Blood Cholesterol in People With Heart Disease or a High Risk of Heart Disease

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 11% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (389 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Minimum age: 40 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 63 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 745 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: time ofheartthe timecoronaryto screening
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsand safetyjapanesesafety of40 years
• Number of arms: 7 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 1.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 17.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Research Study Investigating How NNC0385-0434 is Tolerated in People With or Without High Cholesterol Levels NCT04058834 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• EVOlocumab for Early Reduction of LDL-cholesterol Levels in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes (EVOPACS) NCT03287609 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
• Safety, Tolerability, and Effect of Alirocumab in High Cardiovascular Risk Patients With Severe Hypercholesterolemia Not Adequately Controlled With Conventional Lipid-modifying Therapies (ODYSSEY APPRISE) NCT02476006 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
• Trial to Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of LIB003, Evolocumab and Alirocumab in High-risk CVD Patients NCT04790513 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
• Effect of PCSK9 Inhibition on Cardiovascular Risk in Treated HIV Infection (EPIC-HIV Study) NCT03207945 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.