Pelareorep and Paclitaxel Injection in Chinese Patients With Advanced or Metastatic Breast Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 13% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-05-30, after 2021-10-11 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-05-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: priorproteinhearthcvmri
Phrases that lowered it: patients whosingleopen label10clinical study -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 4 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 4 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 67986 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 8332 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- paclitaxel, pelareorep
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase Ib/II Trial of coPANlisib in Combination With Trastuzumab in HER2-positive Breast Cancer. (Panther Study) NCT02705859 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
- Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Benmelstobart Sequential Benmelstobart Combined With Anlotinib Versus Carboplatin/Cisplatin + Etoposide + Tislelizumab Sequential Tislelizumab in the Treatment of Extensive Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT06897579 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials terminated
- Neratinib and Capmatinib Combination (Phase Ib/II) in Metastatic Breast Cancer and Inflammatory Breast Cancer Patients With Abnormal HER-family and c-Met Pathway Activity as Measured by the CELsignia Signaling Analysis Test NCT05243641 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials terminated
- OLAParib COmbinations NCT02576444 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials terminated
- Ipatasertib + Pertuzumab +Trastuzumab in Advanced HER2+ PI3KCA-mutant Breast Cancer Patients NCT04253561 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.