Study to Compare the Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of ASA Powder for Oral Inhalation With Non-enteric-coated Chewable Aspirin in Adult Subjects With Obstructive or Restrictive Pulmonary Function

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 7% of the time (318 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subjectsubjects withtherapyfunctiondisease
  Phrases that lowered it: asthmasingle dosefev1the pharmacokineticsrhinitis
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 40 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Keywords listed: 7 (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Phase IIb Study of Glycopyrrolate Inhalation Solution Over 1 Week in Subjects With COPD NCT06545500 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Efficacy of Fluticasone Furoate/Vilanterol (FF/VI) Inhalation Powder 100/25 mcg Once Daily Compared With Fluticasone Propionate/Salmeterol Inhalation Powder 250/50 mcg Twice Daily in Subjects With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) NCT01706328 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetic (PK), and Pharmacodynamic (PD) Profiles of 3 Doses of Fluticasone Furoate (FF)/GW642444 Inhalation Powder at the End of a 28-day Treatment Period in Subjects With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Compared to Placebo NCT01072149 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• Two-part Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacodynamic and -Kinetic Study of Inhaled AZD8871 in Asthmatic and COPD Subjects NCT02573155 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• Safety Study of Arformoterol Tartrate Inhalation Solution in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Subjects NCT00909779 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.