Phase Ib Trial of the KRAS G12C Inhibitor Adagrasib (MRTX849) in Combination With the PARP Inhibitor Olaparib in Patients With KRAS G12C Mutated Advanced Solid Tumors, With a Focus on Gynecological, Breast, Pancreatic and KEAP1 Mutated Non-small Cell Lung Cancers
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 11% of the time (918 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2026-03-30, after 2024-01-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2026-03-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerbreastcarcinomaventricularchemotherapy
Phrases that lowered it: participantssolidfirst dose28kras -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 25.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 33.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 169 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1178 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1178 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 25.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 169 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 13961 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3228 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.1% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 33.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- adagrasib, olaparib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Olaparib (LYNPARZA) Plus Durvalumab (IMFINZI) in EGFR-Mutated Adenocarcinomas That Transform to Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) and Other Neuroendocrine Tumors NCT04538378 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
- OLAParib COmbinations NCT02576444 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials terminated
- Study of Palbociclib in Combination With Binimetinib for Patients With Advanced KRAS Mutant Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03170206 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials completed
- Olaparib and Bevacizumab in Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer Subjects NCT04939662 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
- Trial of Ulixertinib in Combination With Hydroxychloroquine in Patients With Advanced Gastrointestinal (GI) Malignancies NCT05221320 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.