A Study to Test How Well Different Doses of BI 3034701 Are Tolerated by Healthy Men and People With Overweight or Obesity

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 7% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-10-07. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: ulnplacebosafety tolerabilityprcomplete
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyvolunteersopenmalesingle
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 798 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 110 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Test Whether BI 456906 (Survodutide) Influences the Amount of Bupropion, Caffeine and Midazolam in the Blood in People With Overweight or Obesity NCT06564441 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• A Study in Healthy Men to Test How Different Doses of BI 3031185 Are Tolerated and How Food Influences the Amount of BI 3031185 in the Blood NCT06255340 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Study to Test How Well Men Tolerate Different Doses of BI 3006337 NCT05076422 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
• A Study in Healthy Men to Test How Different Doses of BI 1584862 Are Tolerated and How BI 1584862 is Taken up in the Body With or Without Food NCT05520827 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
• A Study in Healthy Men to Find Out How Different Doses of BI 3009947 Are Tolerated and How Different Formulations or Food Influence How BI 3009947 is Taken up Into the Blood NCT07250048 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.