A Study to Learn About the Study Medicine PF-07220060 Together With Letrozole Compared to Letrozole Alone in Women Post Menopause
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 23% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-07-10, after 2024-07-11 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-07-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancereffectsradiationhearttherapy
Phrases that lowered it: her2breast cancerparticipants14safety -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 2271 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 157 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 10.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 79.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 7 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 54648 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2271 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 157 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 54648 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5804 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 79.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 10.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- letrozole
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Endocrine Response in Women With Invasive Lobular Breast Cancer NCT02206984 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 97% of active trials completed
- Letrozole in Post-Menopausal Patients With Operable Hormone-Sensitive Breast Cancer NCT03747042 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Letrozole in Treating Postmenopausal Women With Ductal Carcinoma in Situ NCT01439711 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- A Study of PF-06873600 in People With Cancer NCT03519178 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials terminated
- Phase 2 Window Study of SAR439859 (Amcenestrant) Versus Letrozole in Post-menopausal Patients With ER+, HER2- Pre-operative Post-menopausal Primary Breast Cancer NCT04191382 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.