A Clinical Trial Comparing Low-Dose RT + Targeted Therapy+ Immunotherapy vs Targeted Therapy+ Immunotherapy Alone as Neoadjuvant Therapy in Operable HNSCC Patients.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 14% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2026-06-26, after 2025-06-28 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2026-06-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: and neckhead andcancersquamous cellcarcinoma
Phrases that lowered it: pulmonarythe efficacyweeks before80hypertension -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 3.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 84 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 59 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 91.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 59 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 3.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 84 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 10646 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3087 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 91.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- afatinib, tislelizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Low-dose Radiotherapy Plus Tislelizumab in Combination With Afatinib for Neoadjuvant Treatment of Surgically Resectable Head and Neck Squamous Carcinoma NCT06494189 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed
- Neoadjuvant Tislelizumab With Afatinib for Resectable Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma NCT05517330 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy, Tislelizumab With Afatinib for HNSCC NCT05516589 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab in Combination With Cisplatin and Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy (IMRT) in Head and Neck Cancer NCT02777385 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
- Induction Chemo Then Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Cetuximab in Locally Advanced Head and Neck Squamous Cell Cancer NCT01326923 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.