A Study of Chemotherapy and Ramucirumab Versus Chemotherapy Alone in Second Line Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Participants Who Received Prior First Line Platinum-based Chemotherapy
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-08-31, after 2010-12-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: randomizationradiationstageplacebodefined
Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantslinecirrhosisinfection -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 180 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 502 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 97.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 20.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 4048 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 8 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 502 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 180 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 4048 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 976 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 97.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 20.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- docetaxel, ramucirumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Platinum-Based Chemotherapy Plus Ramucirumab in Patients With Advanced NSCLC Who Have Progressed on First Line Anti-PD-1 Immunotherapy NCT03904108 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials terminated
- Docetaxel + Plinabulin Compared to Docetaxel + Placebo in Patients With Advanced NSCLC NCT02504489 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
- A Study of Ramucirumab and Docetaxel in Participants With Solid Tumors NCT01567163 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
- A Multinational, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Custirsen In Patients With Advanced or Metastatic (Stage IV) Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01630733 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
- Study of Motesanib (AMG 706) in Combination With Paclitaxel and Carboplatin for Advanced Non-Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02629848 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.