Relative Bioavailability, Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics (PK) and Food Effect Study of GSK2140944 in Healthy Subjects

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-08-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilityhepatitispositivescreeningthe safety
  Phrases that lowered it: healthytabletbioavailabilitysingle doseformulation
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 28.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 1897 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 316 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 97.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Disease area, infectious disease: Yes (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Randomized, Single Blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Single Oral Doses and Repeat Escalating Oral Doses of GSK2251052 in Healthy Adult Subjects NCT01262885 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
• A Four Part Study to Investigate Relative Bioavailability, Safety and Tolerability of up to 5 Oral Formulation of GSK2251052 in Order to Identify a Formulation for Further Evaluation in a Future Later Phase Study NCT01702350 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials terminated
• GSK1349572 Repeat Dose Escalation and Relative Bioavailability Study NCT00631592 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• An Open-label Single Dose Randomized, Parallel Group Study Followed by Single-blind Repeat Dosing, to Compare the Relative Bioavailability of GSK2212836. NCT00996268 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• Blood Levels and Effects of GSK1325756 in Healthy Adult Volunteers Aged 40 to 80 Years Old NCT01267006 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.