Study of GSK2586881 on Acute Hypoxia and Exercise

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-01-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: placeboacuteof studyeffectivehalf
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyeffect ofsubjectssinglenormal
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 2384 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 6.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• To Evaluate Effects of GSK2256294 on Pulmonary Artery Pressure in Healthy Volunteers Under Normoxic and Hypoxic Conditions NCT02262689 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
• A Safety and Tolerability Study of GSK2982772, in Single (in Both Fed and Fasted States) and Repeat Oral Doses in Healthy Male Subjects NCT02302404 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
• Pharmacokinetics and Safety of GSK1325756 in Elderly Subjects and Adult Subjects of in the Fed and Fasted States and in the Presence of a Proton Pump Inhibitors NCT01209104 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• A Randomized, Single Blind, Placebo Controlled Study to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Single Oral Doses and Repeat Escalating Oral Doses of GSK2251052 in Healthy Adult Subjects NCT01262885 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Safety, Efficacy and Changes in Induced Sputum and Blood Biomarkers Following Daily Repeat Doses of Inhaled GSK2269557 in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Subjects With Acute Exacerbation NCT02522299 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.