A Study to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of UCB8600 in Healthy Participants, Atopic Participants, and Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (238 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2021-08-02, after 2020-06-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-08-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: acuteevidencesyndromeheartmyocardial
Phrases that lowered it: healthyparticipantspharmacokineticsparticipantscreening -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 28 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 11 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 10 (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 10 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 11 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 9.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 28 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- immunology, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Test the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Efficacy of UCB9741 in Healthy Study Participants and in Study Participants With Atopic Dermatitis NCT04643457 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- A Single-ascending Dose (Part A) and Repeat-dose (Part B) Study to Investigate the Safety, Pharmacokinetics and Efficacy (Part B Only) of UCB1381 in Healthy Study Participants (Part A) and in Study Participants With Moderate to Severe Atopic Dermatitis (Part B) NCT05277571 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate Tezepelumab in Adults With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria NCT04833855 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic Profiles of UCB5857 in Healthy Subjects NCT02207595 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
- Dose Escalation Trial Of Safety, Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic And Preliminary Clinical Activity of Briquilimab In Adult Patients With Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) NCT06162728 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.