Continuous Erector Spinae Block for Post Analgesia in Pediatric Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (607 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-12-01, after 2020-11-20 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-12-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: kidneystudy iscontrolled studythis studyinfusion
Phrases that lowered it: patientstumorsefficacyopeninr -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: health services research (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 12.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 2 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 148988 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 73.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 20661 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 333 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- health services research (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 2 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 7 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 333 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 295 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 148988 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 20661 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 73.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 12.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bupivacaine, tramadol
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Erector Spinae Plane Block NCT04118101 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Comparative Study of USG Guided ESPB vs USG Guided PVB For Post-op Analgesia In Patient's After Open Renal Surgeries NCT06728514 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- Erector Spinae Plane Block in Scoliotic Adolescents NCT03968146 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
- Erector Spinae Plane Block for Uncomplicated Renal Colic NCT05625802 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials completed
- The Incidence of Post-Operative Lung Atelectasis With Erector Spinae Plane Block in Bariatric Surgery: NCT06695858 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.