Ketamine As an Adjunctive Therapy for Major Depression (2)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 12% of the time (146 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-08-12, after 2021-09-13 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-12. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: scoreacutedementiapurpose ofdiagnosis
Phrases that lowered it: the trialthe pharmacokineticsnicotinetrial ispharmacokinetics of -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 18 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 5117 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 18 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 5 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 30007 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5117 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- psychiatry
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ketamine, midazolam
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Ketamine as an Adjunctive Therapy for Major Depression NCT03256162 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Ketamine Trial for the Treatment of Depression NCT02401139 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 24% of active trials completed
- Ketamine for Treatment-Resistant Bipolar Disorder NCT05004896 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
- Ketamine Interleaved With Electroconvulsive Therapy for Depression NCT04082858 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials terminated
- Maintenance Ketamine Infusions for Treatment-Resistant Bipolar Depression NCT05339074 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.